Continental Cup · 2026 · Men

BelgiumversusHungary

21 Jun 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Belgium won by 87 runs

Belgium20.0 overs211/5 Hungary16.3 overs124/10 Moara Vlasiei Cricket Ground, Ilfov County ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Belgium more likely to win

78%Belgium22%Hungary

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Belgium rate stronger than Hungary (1,544 vs 1,388 on our results rating)
In the last 2 T20 internationals between these sides, Belgium won 2 and Hungary won 0

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Belgium started on 78%; Belgium batted first.

Belgium’s chance of winning (%) · Hungary is the rest

Belgium's chances ranged from 78% to 100% during the match (Hungary: 0% to 22%).

Biggest swings

2.2: SA Mohandas to Omid Rahimi, six by Omid Rahimi. Belgium up from 81% to 84%.
2nd inns 1.4: Zaki Ul Hassan to V Ravindran, V Ravindran out. Belgium up from 90% to 93%.
2nd inns 3.5: Zaki Ul Hassan to Abbas Ghani, Abbas Ghani out. Belgium up from 93% to 96%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Belgium211/5 Hungary124/10

Innings 2

Hungary

124/1016.3 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Hungary batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Abbas Ghanicaught · Aziz Mohammad · Zaki Ul Hassan 4 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Aziz Mohammad · b Zaki Ul Hassan	18	15	4	0	120.00
V Ravindranrun out · A Raza · Zaki Ul Hassan 0 fours · 0 sixes	run out · A Raza	1	3	0	0	33.33
Muhammad Sobanbowled · R Thapliyal 3 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b R Thapliyal	28	24	3	0	116.67
M Bhaijicaught and bowled · Zaki Ul Hassan 0 fours · 1 sixes	caught and bowled · b Zaki Ul Hassan	9	6	0	1	150.00
Ali Nawazbowled · R Thapliyal 3 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b R Thapliyal	28	23	3	0	121.74

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
R Thapliyal0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	28	4	7.00	2
Zaki Ul Hassan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	22	2	5.50	2
F Khaliq0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	25	0	8.33	3
Said Hakim0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	21	0	10.50	2
Aziz Mohammad0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	1.3	9	2	6.00	1
Ahmad Khalid Ahmadzai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	12	1	6.00	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	14	14/0
2	3	17/1
3	7	24/1
4	5	29/2
5	11	40/2
6	7	47/3
7	10	57/3
8	8	65/3
9	13	78/3
10	6	84/3
11	7	91/4
12	6	97/5
13	5	102/6
14	11	113/6
15	4	117/8
16	7	124/8
17	0	124/10

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