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Pakistan tour of West Indies · 2025 · Men
2 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 79%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 16% to 93% during the match (West Indies: 7% to 84%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alick Athanazelbw · Mohammad Nawaz 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammad Nawaz | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| J Andrewcaught · Shaheen Afridi · Mohammad Nawaz 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shaheen Afridi · b Mohammad Nawaz | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 120.00 |
 Shai Hopecaught and bowled · Mohammad Nawaz2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Mohammad Nawaz | 21 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 70.00 |
| Sherfane Rutherfordlbw · Saim Ayub 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Saim Ayub | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
 Roston Chase |
| caught · Hassan Nawaz · b Saim Ayub |
| 16 |
| 19 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 84.21 |
| Gudakesh Motierun out · Mohammad Haris · Sufyan Moqeem 1 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Mohammad Haris | 28 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Keacy Cartycaught · Mohammad Haris · Sufyan Moqeem 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Haris · b Sufyan Moqeem | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Jason Holdernot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 16* | 10 | 1 | 1 | 160.00 |
|---|
| Romario Shepherdlbw · Shaheen Afridi 2 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Shaheen Afridi | 15 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 136.36 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shaheen Afridi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Mohammad Nawaz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Hasan Ali0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 12.00 | 3 | 1 |
| Sufyan Moqeem0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 1 | 1 |
| Saim Ayub0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-7 (Alick Athanaze, 1.1) · 2-26 (J Andrew, 3.5) · 3-41 (Sherfane Rutherford, 7.3) · 4-53 (Shai Hope, 10.2) · 5-70 (Roston Chase, 13.5) · 6-96 (Gudakesh Motie, 16.1) · 7-98 (Keacy Carty, 16.5) · 8-127 (Romario Shepherd, 19.2)
Recorded target: 134 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 26/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 30/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 34/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 41/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 42/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 47/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 52/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 55/4 |
| 12 | 9 | 64/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 67/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 72/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 79/5 |
| 16 | 16 | 95/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 98/7 |
| 18 | 12 | 110/7 |
| 19 | 16 | 126/7 |
| 20 | 9 | 135/8 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Fakhar Zaman: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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