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SEA Games Men's Twenty20 Cricket Competition · 2025/26 · Men
10 Dec 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Philippines more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Philippines started on 55%; Philippines batted first.
Philippines's chances ranged from 18% to 99% during the match (Singapore: 1% to 82%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASF Sirahbowled · Neil Karnik 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Neil Karnik | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Daniel Smithcaught · IP Swaney · Daksh Tyagi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · IP Swaney · b Daksh Tyagi | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| M Podoskybowled · Daksh Tyagi 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daksh Tyagi | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 40.00 |
| A Donovancaught · Pranav Sudarshan · Neil Karnik 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Pranav Sudarshan · b Neil Karnik | 31 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 106.90 |
| N Tannerlbw · V Nagpaul 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b V Nagpaul | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
| J Tuffin |
| caught · b Aslan Jafri |
| 6 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
| Henry Tylerlbw · Aslan Jafri 3 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Aslan Jafri | 37 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 168.18 |
|---|
| KDA Lukiescaught · IP Swaney · Pranav Sudarshan 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · IP Swaney · b Pranav Sudarshan | 43 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 172.00 |
|---|
| Rhys Burinagabowled · Aslan Jafri 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aslan Jafri | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Grant Russnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
| JEA Doctoranot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daksh Tyagi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Pranav Sudarshan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Neil Karnik0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
| V Nagpaul0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Aslan Jafri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Daniel Smith, 0.3) · 2-10 (M Podosky, 2.5) · 3-13 (ASF Sirah, 3.5) · 4-24 (N Tanner, 6.3) · 5-49 (J Tuffin, 9.3) · 6-60 (A Donovan, 12.0) · 7-108 (Henry Tyler, 16.3) · 8-110 (Rhys Burinaga, 17.0) · 9-144 (KDA Lukies, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 10/2 |
| 4 | 3 | 13/3 |
| 5 | 2 | 15/3 |
| 6 | 8 | 23/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 28/4 |
| 8 | 11 | 39/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 48/4 |
| 10 | 3 | 51/5 |
| 11 | 3 | 54/5 |
| 12 | 6 | 60/6 |
| 13 | 7 | 67/6 |
| 14 | 4 | 71/6 |
| 15 | 13 | 84/6 |
| 16 | 14 | 98/6 |
| 17 | 12 | 110/8 |
| 18 | 13 | 123/8 |
| 19 | 11 | 134/8 |
| 20 | 11 | 145/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.