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ICC Women's T20I Challenge Trophy · 2026 · Women
28 Apr 2026 · T20
Italy more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Kontopirakisbowled · V Vira 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b V Vira | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| EL Bartramnot out 11 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 54* | 33 | 11 | 0 | 163.64 |
| HA Daluwattabowled · V Vira 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b V Vira | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Ilenia Simscaught · N Kakor · V Vira 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · N Kakor · b V Vira | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| ECB Moorecaught · R Andrew · N Kakor 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Andrew · b N Kakor | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| M Rathnayakenot out 4 fours · 1 sixes |
| not out |
| 33* |
| 23 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 143.48 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V Vira1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| R Andrew0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| N Kakor0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 3 | 0 |
| S Stephen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| N Navaika0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 0 | 1 |
| R Ova0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.5 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (A Kontopirakis, 0.1) · 2-0 (HA Daluwatta, 0.2) · 3-0 (Ilenia Sims, 0.4) · 4-9 (ECB Moore, 3.2)
Recorded target: 154 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/3 |
| 2 | 3 | 3/3 |
| 3 | 6 | 9/3 |
| 4 | 7 | 16/4 |
| 5 | 12 | 28/4 |
| 6 | 6 | 34/4 |
| 7 | 8 | 42/4 |
| 8 | 2 | 44/4 |
| 9 | 16 | 60/4 |
| 10 | 11 | 71/4 |
| 11 | 15 | 86/4 |
| 12 | 10 | 96/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.