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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
5 Jul 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 60%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 0% to 86% during the match (Essex: 14% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryony Smithcaught · Jo Gardner · Kate Coppack 9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jo Gardner · b Kate Coppack | 53 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 123.26 |
| Kira Chathlibowled · Sophia Smale 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sophia Smale | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Laura Harrisbowled · Eva Gray 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Eva Gray | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Jemima Spencenot out 9 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 69* | 41 | 9 | 0 | 168.29 |
| Phoebe Franklinbowled · Sophia Smale 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sophia Smale | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 130.00 |
| Alice Monaghannot out4 fours · 0 sixes |
| not out |
| 29* |
| 16 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 181.25 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Munro0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kate Coppack0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 11.25 | 2 | 0 |
 Sophia Smale0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Eva Gray0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 1 | 1 |
| Jodi Grewcock0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Grace Scrivens0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-30 (Kira Chathli, 3.5) · 2-31 (Laura Harris, 4.1) · 3-113 (Bryony Smith, 13.1) · 4-150 (Phoebe Franklin, 16.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 31/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 39/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 46/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 56/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 66/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 77/2 |
| 10 | 12 | 89/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 98/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 106/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 113/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 121/3 |
| 15 | 10 | 131/3 |
| 16 | 17 | 148/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 153/4 |
| 18 | 11 | 164/4 |
| 19 | 12 | 176/4 |
| 20 | 8 | 184/4 |
Sophia Smale: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
