Mumbai IndiansversusRajasthan Royals

22 Apr 2024 · T20

Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Rajasthan Royals won by 9 wickets

Mumbai Indians20.0 overs179/9 Rajasthan Royals18.4 overs183/1 Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Mumbai Indians started on 37%; Mumbai Indians batted first.

Mumbai Indians’s chance of winning (%) · Rajasthan Royals is the rest

Mumbai Indians's chances ranged from 0% to 70% during the match (Rajasthan Royals: 30% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.5: TA Boult to RG Sharma, RG Sharma out. Rajasthan Royals up from 59% to 70%.
1.3: Sandeep Sharma to Ishan Kishan, Ishan Kishan out. Rajasthan Royals up from 71% to 80%.
2nd inns 7.6: PP Chawla to JC Buttler, JC Buttler out. Mumbai Indians up from 25% to 36%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Mumbai Indians chose to bat
Player of the match: Sandeep Sharma
match referees: M Nayyar
reserve umpires: R Rajesh Kannan
tv umpires: BNJ Oxenford
umpires: AK Chaudhary, MV Saidharshan Kumar

Match history & source

On 22 Apr 2024, Mumbai Indians played Rajasthan Royals at Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur. Recorded result: Rajasthan Royals won by 9 wickets.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

Bringing the game to you…

Help make cricket’s story more accurate.