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Photo: Ji-Elle
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
New Zealand tour of Sri Lanka · 2024 · Men
26 Sept 2024 · Test
Galle International Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Sri Lanka more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pathum Nissanka · b Nishan Peiris | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Devon Conwaycaught · Dinesh Chandimal · Dhananjaya de Silva 10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Dinesh Chandimal · b Dhananjaya de Silva | 61 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 98.39 |
4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · RTM Mendis · b Nishan Peiris | 46 | 58 | 4 | 0 | 79.31 |
| bowled · b Nishan Peiris |
| 12 |
| 24 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Daryl Mitchellcaught · Pathum Nissanka · Prabath Jayasuriya 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pathum Nissanka · b Prabath Jayasuriya | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
6 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Nishan Peiris | 60 | 64 | 6 | 2 | 93.75 |
|---|
| Glenn Phillipscaught · Dimuth Karunaratne · Nishan Peiris 6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Dimuth Karunaratne · b Nishan Peiris | 78 | 99 | 6 | 3 | 78.79 |
|---|
| Mitchell Santnerstumped · Kusal Mendis · Nishan Peiris 6 fours · 3 sixes | stumped · Kusal Mendis · b Nishan Peiris | 67 | 115 | 6 | 3 | 58.26 |
|---|
1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Prabath Jayasuriya | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Prabath Jayasuriya | 22 | 40 | 3 | 1 | 55.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nishan Peiris4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 33.4 | 4 | 170 | 6 | 5.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Prabath Jayasuriya2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 34.0 | 2 | 139 | 3 | 4.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Asitha Fernando1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 2.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Milan Priyanath0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Dhananjaya de Silva0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-0 (Tom Latham, 1.0) · 2-97 (Devon Conway, 19.0) · 3-110 (Kane Williamson, 22.2) · 4-113 (Daryl Mitchell, 24.0) · 5-121 (Rachin Ravindra, 27.0) · 6-216 (Tom Blundell, 44.3) · 7-280 (Glenn Phillips, 61.4) · 8-291 (Tim Southee, 64.3) · 9-344 (Ajaz Patel, 78.3) · 10-360 (Mitchell Santner, 81.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 7/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 18/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 27/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 33/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 38/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 43/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 51/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 58/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 61/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 62/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 66/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 68/1 |
| 15 | 11 | 79/1 |
| 16 | 5 | 84/1 |
| 17 | 9 | 93/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 95/1 |
| 19 | 2 | 97/2 |
| 20 | 5 | 102/2 |
| 21 | 6 | 108/2 |
| 22 | 2 | 110/2 |
| 23 | 2 | 112/3 |
| 24 | 1 | 113/4 |
| 25 | 3 | 116/4 |
| 26 | 1 | 117/4 |
| 27 | 4 | 121/5 |
| 28 | 2 | 123/5 |
| 29 | 2 | 125/5 |
| 30 | 4 | 129/5 |
| 31 | 1 | 130/5 |
| 32 | 0 | 130/5 |
| 33 | 14 | 144/5 |
| 34 | 6 | 150/5 |
| 35 | 5 | 155/5 |
| 36 | 2 | 157/5 |
| 37 | 10 | 167/5 |
| 38 | 12 | 179/5 |
| 39 | 4 | 183/5 |
| 40 | 3 | 186/5 |
| 41 | 13 | 199/5 |
| 42 | 5 | 204/5 |
| 43 | 6 | 210/5 |
| 44 | 2 | 212/5 |
| 45 | 4 | 216/6 |
| 46 | 2 | 218/6 |
| 47 | 5 | 223/6 |
| 48 | 2 | 225/6 |
| 49 | 5 | 230/6 |
| 50 | 1 | 231/6 |
| 51 | 6 | 237/6 |
| 52 | 6 | 243/6 |
| 53 | 9 | 252/6 |
| 54 | 5 | 257/6 |
| 55 | 6 | 263/6 |
| 56 | 0 | 263/6 |
| 57 | 4 | 267/6 |
| 58 | 1 | 268/6 |
| 59 | 7 | 275/6 |
| 60 | 5 | 280/6 |
| 61 | 0 | 280/6 |
| 62 | 0 | 280/7 |
| 63 | 11 | 291/7 |
| 64 | 0 | 291/7 |
| 65 | 1 | 292/8 |
| 66 | 0 | 292/8 |
| 67 | 3 | 295/8 |
| 68 | 1 | 296/8 |
| 69 | 1 | 297/8 |
| 70 | 10 | 307/8 |
| 71 | 10 | 317/8 |
| 72 | 11 | 328/8 |
| 73 | 5 | 333/8 |
| 74 | 1 | 334/8 |
| 75 | 1 | 335/8 |
| 76 | 1 | 336/8 |
| 77 | 3 | 339/8 |
| 78 | 4 | 343/8 |
| 79 | 1 | 344/9 |
| 80 | 1 | 345/9 |
| 81 | 5 | 350/9 |
| 82 | 10 | 360/10 |
Angelo Mathews: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dinesh Chandimal: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Tim Southee: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dimuth Karunaratne: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.