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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Asia Qualifier B · 2026/27 · Men
14 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 78%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 70% to 100% during the match (Singapore: 0% to 30%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeeshan Alicaught · KB Zandani · Harsh Venkataram 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KB Zandani · b Harsh Venkataram | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Anshuman Rathnot out 8 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 95* | 56 | 8 | 4 | 169.64 |
| Babar Hayatcaught · Harman Singh · Manpreet Singh 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harman Singh · b Manpreet Singh | 44 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 133.33 |
| Shahid Wasifcaught · Harman Singh · Manpreet Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harman Singh · b Manpreet Singh | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Reyansh Sharmacaught · Pranav Sudarshan · Manpreet Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pranav Sudarshan · b Manpreet Singh | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| bowled · b Harsh Venkataram |
| 9 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
| Yasim Murtazanot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harsh Venkataram0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Pranav Sudarshan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeevan Santhanam0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Akshay Puri0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Manpreet Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Harman Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Zeeshan Ali, 0.1) · 2-85 (Babar Hayat, 9.3) · 3-85 (Shahid Wasif, 9.4) · 4-104 (Reyansh Sharma, 12.2) · 5-131 (Aizaz Khan, 16.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 11 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 41/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 52/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 64/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 71/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 83/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 86/3 |
| 11 | 12 | 98/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 103/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 106/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 111/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 120/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 126/4 |
| 17 | 6 | 132/5 |
| 18 | 10 | 142/5 |
| 19 | 13 | 155/5 |
| 20 | 17 | 172/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.