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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
31 May 2024 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 55%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 30% to 100% during the match (Glamorgan: 0% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Byromcaught · Jordan Clark · Gus Atkinson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan Clark · b Gus Atkinson | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
 Kiran Carlsoncaught · Cameron Steel · Spencer Johnson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cameron Steel · b Spencer Johnson | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Sam Northeastcaught · Spencer Johnson · Jordan Clark2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Spencer Johnson · b Jordan Clark | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 90.00 |
| Colin Ingramrun out · Ollie Pope · Jordan Clark 4 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Ollie Pope | 50 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 125.00 |
| caught · Jamie Smith · b Sean Abbott |
| 58 |
| 34 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 170.59 |
 Chris Cookenot out3 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 40* | 15 | 3 | 3 | 266.67 |
|---|
| Daniel Douthwaitecaught · Spencer Johnson · Jordan Clark 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Spencer Johnson · b Jordan Clark | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
 Tom Bevanbowled · Daniel Lawrence0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daniel Lawrence | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Timm van der Gugtennot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Gus Atkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Jordan Clark0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Sean Abbott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Daniel Lawrence0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Steel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Eddie Byrom, 1.3) · 2-17 (Kiran Carlson, 2.4) · 3-30 (Sam Northeast, 4.4) · 4-129 (Colin Ingram, 15.1) · 5-135 (Marnus Labuschagne, 16.1) · 6-173 (Daniel Douthwaite, 19.0) · 7-176 (Tom Bevan, 19.3)
Recorded target: 201 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 18/2 |
| 4 | 8 | 26/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 33/3 |
| 6 | 9 | 42/3 |
| 7 | 7 | 49/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 52/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 58/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 65/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 70/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 81/3 |
| 13 | 16 | 97/3 |
| 14 | 20 | 117/3 |
| 15 | 12 | 129/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 135/4 |
| 17 | 15 | 150/5 |
| 18 | 12 | 162/5 |
| 19 | 11 | 173/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 181/7 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jamie McIlroy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Northeast: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Bevan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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