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Indonesia Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2024 · Women
2 Jul 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Indonesia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Indonesia started on 69%; Indonesia batted first.
Indonesia's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Bhutan: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NPAN Sakarinibowled · R Choden 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b R Choden | 9 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| NLKWR Dewibowled · Anju Gurung 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Anju Gurung | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| NKF Rada Raninot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 39* | 42 | 2 | 0 | 92.86 |
| M Corazonbowled · R Choden 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b R Choden | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| K Winda Prastinibowled · Chado Om 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chado Om | 41 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 102.50 |
| RD Pangestutilbw · Chado Om 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b Chado Om |
| 4 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| D Wulandarirun out · R Choden · Chado Om 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · R Choden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anju Gurung0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 3.75 | 1 | 0 |
| R Choden0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| S Choden0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| T Zangmo0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Anjuli Ghalley0 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 3 |
| Chado Om0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Sonam0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-14 (NLKWR Dewi, 4.1) · 2-18 (NPAN Sakarini, 6.0) · 3-27 (M Corazon, 7.5) · 4-104 (K Winda Prastini, 17.4) · 5-114 (RD Pangestuti, 19.4) · 6-116 (D Wulandari, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 14/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 15/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 18/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 22/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 27/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 31/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 37/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 45/3 |
| 12 | 14 | 59/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 65/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 71/3 |
| 15 | 10 | 81/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 92/3 |
| 17 | 11 | 103/3 |
| 18 | 2 | 105/4 |
| 19 | 6 | 111/4 |
| 20 | 5 | 116/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.