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Photo: Voyager (Commons uploader; file has no author field)
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
28 Dec 2025 · T20
Manuka Oval, Canberra · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 45%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 0% to 60% during the match (Melbourne Stars: 40% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Clarkecaught · Matthew Gilkes · Chris Green 8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matthew Gilkes · b Chris Green | 60 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 162.16 |
| Sam Harpernot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 29* | 27 | 2 | 0 | 107.41 |
 Glenn Maxwellnot out5 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 39* | 20 | 5 | 2 | 195.00 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hadley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls |
| 3.0 |
| 0 |
| 32 |
| 0 |
| 10.67 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
 Reece Topley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
 Daniel Sams0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 15.50 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
 Shadab Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
 Chris Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Tanveer Sangha0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
1-86 (Joe Clarke, 9.4)
Recorded target: 129 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 16 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 20 | 52/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 56/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 61/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 65/0 |
| 8 | 11 | 76/0 |
| 9 | 8 | 84/0 |
| 10 | 3 | 87/1 |
| 11 | 11 | 98/1 |
| 12 | 9 | 107/1 |
| 13 | 9 | 116/1 |
| 14 | 16 | 132/1 |
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Haris Rauf: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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