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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
7 Jun 2025 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
Worcestershire started on 41%; Worcestershire batted first.
Worcestershire's chances ranged from 17% to 100% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 0% to 83%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ed Pollockcaught · Matthew Montgomery · Dillon Pennington0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Montgomery · b Dillon Pennington | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Brett D'Oliveirarun out · Daniel Sams · Daniel Sams 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Daniel Sams | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Kashif Alicaught · Lyndon James · Calvin Harrison4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Lyndon James · b Calvin Harrison | 51 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 145.71 |
 Adam Hoselbw · Dillon Pennington7 fours · 6 sixes | lbw · b Dillon Pennington |
| 51 |
| 7 |
| 6 |
| 186.27 |
| Ethan Brookescaught · Daniel Sams · Liam Patterson-White 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Sams · b Liam Patterson-White | 32 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 168.42 |
|---|
| Ben Dwarshuisnot out 0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 18* | 9 | 0 | 2 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Tom Hinleynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Daniel Sams0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Dillon Pennington0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 2 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Conor McKerr0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Matthew Montgomery0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Calvin Harrison0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-1 (Brett D'Oliveira, 0.3) · 2-1 (Ed Pollock, 1.1) · 3-74 (Kashif Ali, 9.2) · 4-153 (Ethan Brookes, 15.4) · 5-202 (Adam Hose, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 5/2 |
| 3 | 12 | 17/2 |
| 4 | 16 | 33/2 |
| 5 | 16 | 49/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 57/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 60/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 68/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 74/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 80/3 |
| 11 | 15 | 95/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 99/3 |
| 13 | 11 | 110/3 |
| 14 | 16 | 126/3 |
| 15 | 16 | 142/3 |
| 16 | 13 | 155/4 |
| 17 | 16 | 171/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 175/4 |
| 19 | 19 | 194/4 |
| 20 | 12 | 206/5 |
Kashif Ali: @Ahtasham.135 · CC BY 3.0
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Fateh Singh: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ed Pollock: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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