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Photo: Seksan Phonsuwan
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ICC Women's Emerging Nations Trophy · 2025/26 · Women
23 Nov 2025 · T20
Asian Institute of Technology Ground, Bangkok · Venue photographRecorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Tanzania started on 36%; Tanzania batted first.
Tanzania's chances ranged from 0% to 41% during the match (Netherlands: 59% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Mtaecaught · P Molkenboer · Iris Zwilling 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · P Molkenboer · b Iris Zwilling | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| Fatuma Kibasucaught · Sterre Kalis · Iris Zwilling 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sterre Kalis · b Iris Zwilling | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| NJ Piuslbw · Robine Rijke 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Robine Rijke | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| HM Omarybowled · Silver Siegers 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Silver Siegers | 14 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
| JG Kimarolbw · Silver Siegers 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Silver Siegers | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
| NN Saidi |
| not out |
| 14* |
| 29 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 48.28 |
| PZ Kamunyabowled · Iris Zwilling 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Iris Zwilling | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 46.67 |
|---|
| SD Husseinbowled · Frederique Overdijk 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Frederique Overdijk | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| MH Ushangabowled · Hannah Landheer 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hannah Landheer | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| S Kizitobowled · Hannah Landheer 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hannah Landheer | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| SF Jeromecaught · Caroline de Lange · Frederique Overdijk 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Caroline de Lange · b Frederique Overdijk | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iris Zwilling0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 3.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Robine Rijke0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Frederique Overdijk1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1.91 | 0 | 0 |
| Silver Siegers1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Caroline de Lange0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Hannah Landheer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (S Mtae, 2.4) · 2-13 (Fatuma Kibasu, 4.5) · 3-15 (NJ Pius, 5.5) · 4-24 (JG Kimaro, 8.1) · 5-39 (HM Omary, 12.1) · 6-51 (PZ Kamunya, 16.3) · 7-52 (SD Hussein, 17.1) · 8-59 (MH Ushanga, 18.1) · 9-59 (S Kizito, 18.4) · 10-62 (SF Jerome, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 11/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 13/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 16/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 22/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 24/3 |
| 9 | 0 | 24/4 |
| 10 | 3 | 27/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 32/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 39/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 41/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 44/5 |
| 15 | 2 | 46/5 |
| 16 | 3 | 49/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 52/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 59/7 |
| 19 | 1 | 60/9 |
| 20 | 2 | 62/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.