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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
14 Jun 2025 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Sussex started on 50%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 47% to 100% during the match (Glamorgan: 0% to 53%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Wardcaught · Asa Tribe · Timm van der Gugten 9 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Asa Tribe · b Timm van der Gugten | 55 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 229.17 |
| Daniel Hughescaught · Kiran Carlson · Imad Wasim 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kiran Carlson · b Imad Wasim | 25 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 113.64 |
| John Simpsoncaught · William Smale · Ned Leonard 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · William Smale · b Ned Leonard | 41 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 157.69 |
| James Colescaught · Colin Ingram · Mason Crane 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Colin Ingram · b Mason Crane | 28 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 175.00 |
 Tom Alsopcaught · Mason Crane0 fours · 1 sixes |
| 14 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 116.67 |
 Jack Carsonnot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 19* | 11 | 1 | 1 | 172.73 |
|---|
| Tom Clarkstumped · Chris Cooke · Mason Crane 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Chris Cooke · b Mason Crane | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Nathan McAndrewcaught · BI Kellaway · Daniel Douthwaite 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · BI Kellaway · b Daniel Douthwaite | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Ollie Robinsonnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Timm van der Gugten0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 12.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Imad Wasim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
| BI Kellaway0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Mason Crane0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 3 | 10.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Ned Leonard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-73 (Harrison Ward, 6.0) · 2-102 (Daniel Hughes, 9.5) · 3-147 (John Simpson, 13.5) · 4-158 (James Coles, 15.4) · 5-181 (Tom Alsop, 17.4) · 6-181 (Tom Clark, 17.5) · 7-182 (Nathan McAndrew, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 22 | 40/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 46/0 |
| 5 | 17 | 63/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 73/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 79/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 86/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 98/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 102/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 111/2 |
| 12 | 19 | 130/2 |
| 13 | 9 | 139/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 147/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 152/3 |
| 16 | 9 | 161/4 |
| 17 | 13 | 174/4 |
| 18 | 8 | 182/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 187/7 |
| 20 | 12 | 199/7 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ned Leonard: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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