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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
14 Jun 2025 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Sussex started on 50%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 47% to 100% during the match (Glamorgan: 0% to 53%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kiran Carlsoncaught · Tom Clark · Henry Crocombe1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Clark · b Henry Crocombe | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 121.43 |
| William Smalecaught · Nathan McAndrew 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · b Nathan McAndrew | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
| BI Kellawaycaught · Ollie Robinson · Nathan McAndrew 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Nathan McAndrew | 28 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 155.56 |
| Colin Ingramcaught · Henry Crocombe · Nathan McAndrew 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Henry Crocombe · b Nathan McAndrew | 37 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 176.19 |
 |
| caught · Tom Clark · b James Coles |
| 11 |
| 9 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 122.22 |
| Asa Tribecaught · Ollie Robinson · Nathan McAndrew 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Nathan McAndrew | 11 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 78.57 |
|---|
| Daniel Douthwaitecaught · Henry Crocombe 1 fours · 5 sixes | caught · b Henry Crocombe | 40 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 222.22 |
|---|
 Imad Wasimcaught · Tymal Mills1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · b Tymal Mills | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Timm van der Gugtencaught · Nathan McAndrew0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · b Nathan McAndrew | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Ned Leonardcaught · Ollie Robinson · Nathan McAndrew0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Nathan McAndrew | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Mason Cranenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ollie Robinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 10.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan McAndrew0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 21 | 6 | 5.48 | 0 | 0 |
 Tymal Mills0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Henry Crocombe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
| James Coles0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack Carson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (William Smale, 1.5) · 2-55 (Kiran Carlson, 5.2) · 3-99 (Chris Cooke, 10.4) · 4-106 (BI Kellaway, 11.1) · 5-107 (Colin Ingram, 11.3) · 6-159 (Daniel Douthwaite, 16.2) · 7-169 (Imad Wasim, 17.5) · 8-170 (Timm van der Gugten, 18.1) · 9-171 (Asa Tribe, 18.3) · 10-172 (Ned Leonard, 18.5)
Recorded target: 200 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 14 | 33/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 41/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 53/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 57/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 62/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 72/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 83/2 |
| 10 | 14 | 97/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 106/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 109/5 |
| 13 | 13 | 122/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 130/5 |
| 15 | 12 | 142/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 153/5 |
| 17 | 9 | 162/6 |
| 18 | 8 | 170/7 |
| 19 | 2 | 172/10 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ned Leonard: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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