Sharjah WarriorzversusGulf Giants

15 Dec 2025 · T20

Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sharjah Warriorz won by 11 runs

Sharjah Warriorz20.0 overs174/6 Gulf Giants20.0 overs163/9 Sharjah Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sharjah Warriorz started on 46%; Sharjah Warriorz batted first.

Sharjah Warriorz’s chance of winning (%) · Gulf Giants is the rest

Sharjah Warriorz's chances ranged from 39% to 100% during the match (Gulf Giants: 0% to 61%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 3.6: Wasim Akram to KR Mayers, KR Mayers out. Sharjah Warriorz up from 61% to 76%.
2nd inns 14.3: Wasim Akram to Azmatullah Omarzai, Azmatullah Omarzai out. Sharjah Warriorz up from 54% to 71%.
2nd inns 15.2: M Pathirana to MW Forde, MW Forde out. Sharjah Warriorz up from 66% to 83%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sharjah Warriorz174/6 Gulf Giants163/9

Innings 1