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South American Men's Championships · 2026 · Men
6 Aug 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Panama more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Mexico started on 26%; Mexico batted first.
Mexico's chances ranged from 1% to 27% during the match (Panama: 73% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salim Patelbowled · Pratik Singh Bais 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Pratik Singh Bais | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sufiyan Tarajiabowled · Y Jasti 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Y Jasti | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Yusuf Bhoolacaught · GE Gutierrez Chavez · Pratik Singh Bais 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · GE Gutierrez Chavez · b Pratik Singh Bais | 27 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 81.82 |
| MY Bawacaught · D Ebersohn · Bhargav Narasimha 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Ebersohn · b Bhargav Narasimha | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 58.33 |
| Irfan Hafejeecaught · D Panda · Y Jasti 2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · D Panda · b Y Jasti | 44 | 33 | 2 | 4 | 133.33 |
| not out |
| 17* |
| 20 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 85.00 |
| BB Ahirnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pratik Singh Bais1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Y Jasti0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Bhargav Narasimha0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 3 | 0 |
| D Panda0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| M Noble0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| J Byrappa0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Mohit Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Salim Patel, 0.2) · 2-15 (Sufiyan Tarajia, 3.1) · 3-34 (MY Bawa, 6.5) · 4-83 (Yusuf Bhoola, 13.5) · 5-110 (Irfan Hafejee, 17.4)
Recorded target: 123 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 3 | 14 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 20/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 21/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 29/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 35/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 38/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 44/3 |
| 10 | 1 | 45/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 52/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 64/3 |
| 13 | 12 | 76/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 83/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 88/4 |
| 16 | 9 | 97/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 102/4 |
| 18 | 11 | 113/5 |
| 19 | 8 | 121/5 |
| 20 | 2 | 123/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.