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Women's T20 Quadrangular Series (in Thailand) · 2025/26 · Women
15 Nov 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Papua New Guinea more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 45%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 0% to 46% during the match (Papua New Guinea: 55% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konio Oalacaught · Sune Wittmann · Wilka Mwatile 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sune Wittmann · b Wilka Mwatile | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Naoani Varenot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 50 | 2 | 0 | 46.00 |
| H Dorigacaught · Sylvia Shihepo · Wilka Mwatile 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sylvia Shihepo · b Wilka Mwatile | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 35.71 |
| HJ Thomascaught · Sylvia Shihepo · Victoria Hamunyela 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sylvia Shihepo · b Victoria Hamunyela | 10 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 90.91 |
| Pauke Siakarun out · Sylvia Shihepo · Victoria Hamunyela 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sylvia Shihepo | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| not out |
| 27* |
| 34 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 79.41 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 3 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilka Mwatile1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Eveleen Kejarukua0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 0 | 1 |
| Sylvia Shihepo0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Victoria Hamunyela0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| M Mwatile0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Arrasta Diergaardt0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 11.14 | 0 | 1 |
1-10 (Konio Oala, 2.1) · 2-19 (H Doriga, 6.3) · 3-40 (HJ Thomas, 9.3) · 4-40 (Pauke Siaka, 9.5)
Recorded target: 75 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 14/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 14/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 18/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 20/2 |
| 8 | 14 | 34/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 38/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 40/4 |
| 11 | 1 | 41/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 45/4 |
| 13 | 1 | 46/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 49/4 |
| 15 | 1 | 50/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 55/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 60/4 |
| 18 | 12 | 72/4 |
| 19 | 2 | 74/4 |
| 20 | 1 | 75/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.