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Malaysia Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2024 · Men
23 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Malaysia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 54%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 0% to 73% during the match (Hong Kong: 27% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Coetzeecaught · Sharvin Muniandy · Rizwan Haider 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sharvin Muniandy · b Rizwan Haider | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Anshuman Rathlbw · Pavandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Pavandeep Singh | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Nizakat Khannot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 37* | 40 | 1 | 1 | 92.50 |
| Babar Hayatcaught · Ahmed Aqeel · Khizar Hayat 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ahmed Aqeel · b Khizar Hayat | 34 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 161.90 |
| Aizaz Khanstumped · Ainool Hafizs · Ahmed Aqeel 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Ainool Hafizs · b Ahmed Aqeel | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| not out |
| 13* |
| 22 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 59.09 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizwan Haider0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Pavandeep Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Syed Aziz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Amir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 19.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Khizar Hayat1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ahmed Aqeel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhamad Syahadat0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.5 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7.20 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Martin Coetzee, 0.2) · 2-25 (Anshuman Rath, 4.0) · 3-79 (Babar Hayat, 10.3) · 4-82 (Aizaz Khan, 11.4)
Recorded target: 102 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 25/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 32/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 36/2 |
| 7 | 19 | 55/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 60/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 68/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 72/2 |
| 11 | 10 | 82/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 83/4 |
| 13 | 0 | 83/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 89/4 |
| 15 | 2 | 91/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 96/4 |
| 17 | 6 | 102/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.