Abu Dhabi Knight RidersversusSharjah Warriorz

30 Jan 2025 · T20

Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sharjah Warriorz won by 4 wickets

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders20.0 overs161/8 Sharjah Warriorz19.0 overs162/6 Sharjah Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders started on 41%; Abu Dhabi Knight Riders batted first.

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Sharjah Warriorz is the rest

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders's chances ranged from 0% to 70% during the match (Sharjah Warriorz: 31% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.4: AF Milne to AGS Gous, AGS Gous out. Sharjah Warriorz up from 50% to 62%.
2.5: AF Milne to JM Clarke, JM Clarke out. Sharjah Warriorz up from 50% to 61%.
8.5: A Zampa to RL Chase, RL Chase out. Sharjah Warriorz up from 32% to 40%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders161/8 Sharjah Warriorz162/6

Innings 1