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Photo: Ovalise
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
24 Jan 2026 · T20
McLean Park, Napier · Venue photographRecorded result
Otago started on 43%; Otago batted first.
Otago's chances ranged from 0% to 61% during the match (Central Districts: 39% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JM Cummingcaught · Brett Randell · Blair Tickner 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brett Randell · b Blair Tickner | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Jamal Toddcaught · Josh Clarkson · Joey Field 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Josh Clarkson · b Joey Field | 26 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 216.67 |
 Max Chucaught · Joey Field · Ajaz Patel1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joey Field · b Ajaz Patel | 20 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 90.91 |
| Jack Boylelbw · Blair Tickner 3 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Blair Tickner | 28 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 200.00 |
| Troy Johnsoncaught and bowled · Jayden Lennox 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jayden Lennox |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| R Clintoncaught · Dane Cleaver · Joey Field 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dane Cleaver · b Joey Field | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 137.50 |
|---|
| Jake Gibsoncaught · Dane Cleaver · Joey Field 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dane Cleaver · b Joey Field | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Ben Lockrosecaught and bowled · Jayden Lennox 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jayden Lennox | 17 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 80.95 |
|---|
| Danru Fernscaught · Joey Field · Blair Tickner 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joey Field · b Blair Tickner | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Matthew Baconbowled · Blair Tickner 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Blair Tickner | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| HDJ Sixtonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Lennox0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Brett Randell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 16.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Joey Field0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Blair Tickner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Dean Foxcroft0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Clarkson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ajaz Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-31 (Jamal Todd, 2.5) · 2-31 (JM Cumming, 3.1) · 3-60 (Jack Boyle, 5.3) · 4-63 (Troy Johnson, 6.2) · 5-79 (R Clinton, 8.3) · 6-83 (Jake Gibson, 8.5) · 7-111 (Max Chu, 13.2) · 8-115 (Ben Lockrose, 15.0) · 9-132 (Matthew Bacon, 17.3) · 10-133 (Danru Ferns, 18.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 21/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 31/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 36/2 |
| 5 | 18 | 54/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 62/3 |
| 7 | 7 | 69/4 |
| 8 | 6 | 75/4 |
| 9 | 8 | 83/6 |
| 10 | 7 | 90/6 |
| 11 | 7 | 97/6 |
| 12 | 5 | 102/6 |
| 13 | 8 | 110/6 |
| 14 | 3 | 113/7 |
| 15 | 2 | 115/8 |
| 16 | 8 | 123/8 |
| 17 | 8 | 131/8 |
| 18 | 2 | 133/10 |
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Blair Tickner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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