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Photo: Ovalise
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
24 Jan 2026 · T20
McLean Park, Napier · Venue photographRecorded result
Otago started on 43%; Otago batted first.
Otago's chances ranged from 0% to 61% during the match (Central Districts: 39% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Foxcroftcaught · Jamal Todd · Jake Gibson 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jamal Todd · b Jake Gibson | 40 | 44 | 4 | 1 | 90.91 |
 Will Youngrun out · JM Cumming · Ben Lockrose6 fours · 1 sixes | run out · JM Cumming | 62 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 151.22 |
| Dane Cleaverbowled · Jake Gibson 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jake Gibson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Tom Brucenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 23 | 1 | 0 | 60.87 |
| Josh Clarksonrun out · Matthew Bacon · Matthew Bacon 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Matthew Bacon | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| SJ Cassidynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 9 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDJ Sixton0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 10.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Danru Ferns0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Ben Lockrose0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 6.57 | 5 | 0 |
| Matthew Bacon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Troy Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jake Gibson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-106 (Will Young, 13.0) · 2-109 (Dane Cleaver, 13.2) · 3-122 (Dean Foxcroft, 15.5) · 4-124 (Josh Clarkson, 16.4)
Recorded target: 134 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 28/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 41/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 44/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 57/0 |
| 7 | 10 | 67/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 75/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 80/0 |
| 10 | 8 | 88/0 |
| 11 | 11 | 99/0 |
| 12 | 3 | 102/0 |
| 13 | 4 | 106/1 |
| 14 | 4 | 110/2 |
| 15 | 9 | 119/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 123/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 128/4 |
| 18 | 2 | 130/4 |
| 19 | 3 | 133/4 |
| 20 | 1 | 134/4 |
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Blair Tickner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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