ScotlandversusNamibia

20 Jul 2024 · ODI

Forthill, Dundee · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Scotland won by 47 runs

Scotland50.0 overs290/9 Namibia44.0 overs235/9 Forthill, Dundee ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Scotland more likely to win

65%Scotland35%Namibia

Why

Scotland are playing at home in the United Kingdom
In the last 5 ODIs between these sides, Scotland won 4 and Namibia won 1
On results in ODIs so far, Scotland rate stronger than Namibia (1,492 vs 1,484 on our results rating)

Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.