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Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
8 Jan 2026 · T20
Melbourne Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 46%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 0% to 63% during the match (Sydney Sixers: 37% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harperbowled · Joel Davies 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Joel Davies | 21 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 123.53 |
| Tom Rogersbowled · Ben Manenti 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ben Manenti | 23 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Campbell Kellawaycaught · Ben Manenti · Joel Davies 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Manenti · b Joel Davies | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Marcus Stoiniscaught · Mohammad Babar Azam · Ben Dwarshuis2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mohammad Babar Azam · b Ben Dwarshuis | 33 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 94.29 |
| Blake Macdonaldcaught · Josh Philippe · Ben Dwarshuis 2 fours · 2 sixes |
| 33 |
| 22 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 150.00 |
 Glenn Maxwellcaught · Mohammad Babar Azam · Jack Edwards0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Babar Azam · b Jack Edwards | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Hilton Cartwrightcaught · Sam Curran · Jack Edwards 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Curran · b Jack Edwards | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Mitchell Swepsoncaught · Sam Curran · Jack Edwards 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Curran · b Jack Edwards | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
 Haris Raufcaught · Josh Philippe · Ben Dwarshuis0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Philippe · b Ben Dwarshuis | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Liam Hatchercaught · Lachlan Shaw · Ben Dwarshuis0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lachlan Shaw · b Ben Dwarshuis | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
 Peter Siddlenot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Manenti0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Sean Abbott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 15.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Jack Edwards0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Joel Davies0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Dwarshuis1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 3.39 | 0 | 0 |
1-43 (Sam Harper, 6.0) · 2-47 (Tom Rogers, 6.4) · 3-53 (Campbell Kellaway, 8.0) · 4-97 (Blake Macdonald, 13.4) · 5-99 (Glenn Maxwell, 15.1) · 6-107 (Hilton Cartwright, 16.0) · 7-116 (Marcus Stoinis, 17.4) · 8-116 (Haris Rauf, 17.5) · 9-122 (Mitchell Swepson, 18.5) · 10-128 (Liam Hatcher, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 21 | 29/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 34/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 39/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 43/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 48/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 53/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 57/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 64/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 75/3 |
| 12 | 14 | 89/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 93/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 97/4 |
| 15 | 2 | 99/4 |
| 16 | 8 | 107/6 |
| 17 | 9 | 116/6 |
| 18 | 0 | 116/8 |
| 19 | 7 | 123/9 |
| 20 | 5 | 128/10 |
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Liam Hatcher: DustyNail · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Haris Rauf: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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