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Photo: Electricmaster
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
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Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
8 Jan 2026 · T20
Melbourne Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 46%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 0% to 63% during the match (Sydney Sixers: 37% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammad Babar Azamlbw · Marcus Stoinis1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Marcus Stoinis | 14 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 82.35 |
 Moisés Henriqueslbw · Peter Siddle1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Peter Siddle | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 171.43 |
| Josh Philippecaught · Tom Rogers · Haris Rauf 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Tom Rogers · b Haris Rauf | 35 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 140.00 |
 Sam Currancaught · Haris Rauf · Marcus Stoinis2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Haris Rauf · b Marcus Stoinis | 17 | 21 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 80.95 |
| Jordan Silknot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 17* | 20 | 0 | 0 | 85.00 |
|---|
| Lachlan Shawnot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 24* | 14 | 2 | 1 | 171.43 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Glenn Maxwell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Liam Hatcher0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 2 | 0 |
 Peter Siddle0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3.79 | 0 | 0 |
 Haris Rauf0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Marcus Stoinis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Swepson0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Campbell Kellaway0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-20 (Moisés Henriques, 2.1) · 2-48 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 6.3) · 3-75 (Josh Philippe, 9.5) · 4-89 (Sam Curran, 12.2)
Recorded target: 129 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 16 | 48/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 50/2 |
| 8 | 14 | 64/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 67/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 76/3 |
| 11 | 10 | 86/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 89/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 92/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 98/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 103/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 113/4 |
| 17 | 14 | 127/4 |
| 18 | 2 | 129/4 |
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Liam Hatcher: DustyNail · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Haris Rauf: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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