DenmarkversusHungary

13 Jul 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Denmark won by 66 runs

Denmark20.0 overs186/3 Hungary16.3 overs120/10 Svanholm Park, Brondby ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Denmark more likely to win

81%Denmark19%Hungary

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Denmark rate stronger than Hungary (1,591 vs 1,385 on our results rating)
Denmark are playing at home in Denmark

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Denmark started on 80%; Denmark batted first.

Denmark’s chance of winning (%) · Hungary is the rest

Denmark's chances ranged from 76% to 100% during the match (Hungary: 0% to 24%).

Biggest swings

8.4: Kamran Wahid to Musa Shaheen, Musa Shaheen out. Hungary up from 15% to 19%.
2nd inns 5.4: N Sonne-Rudd to Zahir Mohammed, Zahir Mohammed out. Denmark up from 78% to 85%.
2nd inns 6.4: Lucky Ali to V Ravindran, V Ravindran out. Denmark up from 84% to 90%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Denmark186/3 Hungary120/10

Innings 2

Hungary

120/1016.3 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Hungary batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
V Ravindrancaught · Taranjit Bharaj · Lucky Ali 4 fours · 2 sixes	caught · Taranjit Bharaj · b Lucky Ali	31	19	4	2	163.16
Zahir Mohammedcaught · Hamid Shah · Nicholas Sonne-Rudd 2 fours · 1 sixes	caught · Hamid Shah · b Nicholas Sonne-Rudd	20	18	2	1	111.11
Muhammad Sobancaught · Lucky Ali · Saif Ahmad 2 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Lucky Ali · b Saif Ahmad	13	12	2	0	108.33
M Bhaijicaught · Shangeev Thanikaithasan · Saif Ahmad 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Shangeev Thanikaithasan · b Saif Ahmad	0	3	0	0	0.00
Kasir Ahmedcaught · Saud Munir · Abdullah Mahmood 1 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Saud Munir · b Abdullah Mahmood	19	20	1	0	95.00

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Surya Anand0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	14	0	14.00	1
Nicholas Sonne-Rudd0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	14	1	7.00	0
Saud Munir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	18	0	9.00	0
Saif Ahmad0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	17	2	5.67	1
Lucky Ali0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	19	1	6.33	2
Abdullah Mahmood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	13	2	4.33	1
Hamid Shah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	23	2	11.50	0
Shangeev Thanikaithasan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	0.3	1	1	2.00	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	14	14/0
2	8	22/0
3	5	27/0
4	10	37/0
5	13	50/0
6	6	56/1
7	2	58/2
8	4	62/3
9	6	68/3
10	3	71/4
11	11	82/5
12	3	85/6
13	5	90/7
14	7	97/7
15	18	115/8
16	4	119/9
17	1	120/10

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