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Continental Cup · 2025 · Men
26 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
France more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
France started on 80%; France batted first.
France's chances ranged from 0% to 83% during the match (Malta: 18% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R Dianishcaught · HA Jackson · Rahmatullah Mangal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · HA Jackson · b Rahmatullah Mangal | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mehboob Alicaught · Rahmatullah Mangal · Usman Khan 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rahmatullah Mangal · b Usman Khan | 33 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 183.33 |
| P Pushparajancaught · Jamshid Nasiri · R Mangal 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jamshid Nasiri · b R Mangal | 46 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 112.20 |
| Mohammed Qasimcaught · Rahmatullah Mangal · Jamshid Nasiri 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rahmatullah Mangal · b Jamshid Nasiri | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 108.33 |
| Jaspal Singhnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| not out |
| 3* |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahmatullah Mangal1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 1 | 0 |
| R Mangal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.4 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Dawood Ahmadzai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 5.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Usman Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jamshid Nasiri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (R Dianish, 0.3) · 2-58 (Mehboob Ali, 7.0) · 3-81 (Mohammed Qasim, 10.2) · 4-103 (P Pushparajan, 13.1)
Recorded target: 106 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 12 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 13 | 46/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 49/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 58/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 61/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 72/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 81/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 85/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 90/3 |
| 13 | 13 | 103/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 106/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.