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North America T20 Cup · 2025 · Men
24 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Canada started on 26%; Canada batted first.
Canada's chances ranged from 25% to 100% during the match (United States of America: 0% to 75%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saiteja Mukkamallacaught · Ravinderpal Singh · Harsh Thaker 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ravinderpal Singh · b Harsh Thaker | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 122.22 |
| Shayan Jahangircaught · Akhil Kumar · Harsh Thaker 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Akhil Kumar · b Harsh Thaker | 26 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 162.50 |
| Monank Patelrun out · Sukhjinder Singh, Akhil Kumar · Sukhjinder Singh 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sukhjinder Singh, Akhil Kumar | 15 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Milind Kumarcaught · Shreyas Movva · Akhil Kumar 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Shreyas Movva · b Akhil Kumar | 32 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 118.52 |
| Aaron Joneslbw · Jaskaran Singh 0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Jaskaran Singh | 17 | 13 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 130.77 |
| Sanjay Krishnamurthicaught · Sukhjinder Singh · Kaleem Sana 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sukhjinder Singh · b Kaleem Sana | 24 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Ali Sheikhcaught · Shreyas Movva · Kaleem Sana 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shreyas Movva · b Kaleem Sana | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 121.43 |
|---|
| Jasdeep Singhbowled · Jaskaran Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jaskaran Singh | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Yasir Mohammadnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Saurabh Netravalkarnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleem Sana0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Jaskaran Singh0 maidens · 2 wides · 3 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 2 | 3 |
| Harsh Thaker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sukhjinder Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Akhil Kumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-39 (Saiteja Mukkamalla, 3.2) · 2-56 (Shayan Jahangir, 5.3) · 3-59 (Monank Patel, 6.1) · 4-99 (Aaron Jones, 11.2) · 5-121 (Milind Kumar, 13.4) · 6-149 (Sanjay Krishnamurthi, 16.5) · 7-157 (Jasdeep Singh, 18.0) · 8-157 (Ali Sheikh, 18.1)
Recorded target: 185 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 18 | 29/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 38/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 42/1 |
| 5 | 13 | 55/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 59/2 |
| 7 | 1 | 60/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 63/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 73/3 |
| 10 | 12 | 85/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 96/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 105/4 |
| 13 | 10 | 115/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 122/5 |
| 15 | 5 | 127/5 |
| 16 | 15 | 142/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 150/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 157/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 165/8 |
| 20 | 2 | 167/8 |
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.