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Photo: Jgritz~commonswiki (Commons uploader; file has no author field)
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Women
13 Nov 2024 · T20
Bellerive Oval, Hobart · Venue photographRecorded result
Hobart Hurricanes started on 46%; Hobart Hurricanes batted first.
Hobart Hurricanes's chances ranged from 36% to 100% during the match (Adelaide Strikers: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Smriti Mandhanacaught · Chloe Tryon · Lauren Smith6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Chloe Tryon · b Lauren Smith | 51 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 159.38 |
 Katie Mackcaught · Nicola Carey · Amy Smith0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nicola Carey · b Amy Smith | 14 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 70.00 |
 Laura Wolvaardtnot out7 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 63* | 40 | 7 | 1 | 157.50 |
 Tahlia McGrathcaught · C Wilson · Molly Strano0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · C Wilson · b Molly Strano |
| 4 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
 Bridget Pattersonnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 20 | 1 | 0 | 115.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Molly Strano0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kathryn Bryce0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| C Wilson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Lauren Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Heather Graham0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Nicola Carey0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Amy Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-67 (Smriti Mandhana, 7.3) · 2-83 (Katie Mack, 10.3) · 3-93 (Tahlia McGrath, 12.4)
Recorded target: 192 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 17 | 23/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 41/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 51/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 63/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 65/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 73/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 78/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 82/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 83/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 90/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 94/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 103/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 112/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 118/3 |
| 17 | 9 | 127/3 |
| 18 | 6 | 133/3 |
| 19 | 9 | 142/3 |
| 20 | 21 | 163/3 |
Lauren Smith: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tahlia McGrath: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amanda-Jade Wellington: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Megan Schutt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Bridget Patterson: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Madeline Penna: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Molly Strano: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jemma Barsby: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Elyse Villani: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lizelle Lee: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Nicola Carey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Katie Mack: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chloe Tryon: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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