Kandy RoyalsversusDambulla Sixers

21 Jul 2026 · T20

Rangiri Dambulla International Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Kandy Royals won by 43 runs

Kandy Royals20.0 overs194/6 Dambulla Sixers20.0 overs151/8 Rangiri Dambulla International Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Kandy Royals started on 43%; Kandy Royals batted first.

Kandy Royals’s chance of winning (%) · Dambulla Sixers is the rest

Kandy Royals's chances ranged from 33% to 100% during the match (Dambulla Sixers: 0% to 67%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 5.3: N Thushara to LD Chandimal, LD Chandimal out. Kandy Royals up from 50% to 62%.
2nd inns 11.3: MADI Hemantha to Sahibzada Farhan, Sahibzada Farhan out. Kandy Royals up from 42% to 55%.
2nd inns 13.2: MADI Hemantha to N Dickwella, N Dickwella out. Kandy Royals up from 62% to 73%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

The players in this match

Angelo Mathews

Recorded in this match's lineup

**Fazalhaq Farooqi**
Photo: Afghanistan Cricket Board Official
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.

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Kandy RoyalsversusDambulla Sixers

Kandy Royals won by 43 runs

How the win chances moved

Biggest swings

The players in this match

Angelo Mathews

Fazalhaq Farooqi

Kandy Royals

Dambulla Sixers