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Photo: Krish Dulal
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2023/24 · Men
19 Feb 2024 · ODI
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 49%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 0% to 56% during the match (Netherlands: 44% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Levittcaught · Jan Frylinck · Gerhard Erasmus 8 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jan Frylinck · b Gerhard Erasmus | 57 | 81 | 8 | 2 | 70.37 |
| Max O'Dowdbowled · Gerhard Erasmus 2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Gerhard Erasmus | 28 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 66.67 |
| Sybrand Engelbrechtlbw · Gerhard Erasmus 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Gerhard Erasmus | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 42.86 |
 Bas de Leedenot out1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 21* | 20 | 1 | 2 | 105.00 |
| Scott Edwardsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruben Trumpelmann1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 4.40 | 2 | 0 |
| Bernard Scholtz2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 3.22 | 0 | 0 |
| Tangeni Lungameni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 9.43 | 0 | 0 |
| Gerhard Erasmus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 3.29 | 0 | 0 |
1-78 (Max O'Dowd, 15.4) · 2-86 (Sybrand Engelbrecht, 20.0) · 3-101 (Michael Levitt, 23.4)
Recorded target: 124 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 17/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 17/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 23/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 29/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 31/0 |
| 9 | 9 | 40/0 |
| 10 | 1 | 41/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 47/0 |
| 12 | 4 | 51/0 |
| 13 | 15 | 66/0 |
| 14 | 2 | 68/0 |
| 15 | 6 | 74/0 |
| 16 | 5 | 79/1 |
| 17 | 2 | 81/1 |
| 18 | 1 | 82/1 |
| 19 | 0 | 82/1 |
| 20 | 4 | 86/2 |
| 21 | 1 | 87/2 |
| 22 | 5 | 92/2 |
| 23 | 4 | 96/2 |
| 24 | 6 | 102/3 |
| 25 | 1 | 103/3 |
| 26 | 2 | 105/3 |
| 27 | 18 | 123/3 |
| 28 | 1 | 124/3 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
