Abu Dhabi Knight RidersversusSharjah Warriorz

3 Dec 2025 · T20

Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders won by 39 runs

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders20.0 overs233/4 Sharjah Warriorz20.0 overs194/9 Sharjah Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders started on 38%; Abu Dhabi Knight Riders batted first.

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Sharjah Warriorz is the rest

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Sharjah Warriorz: 0% to 64%).

Biggest swings

2.3: D Pretorius to MS Pepper, MS Pepper out. Sharjah Warriorz up from 51% to 61%.
7.4: AU Rashid to AD Hales, AD Hales out. Sharjah Warriorz up from 36% to 43%.
9.3: AU Rashid to A Sharafu, A Sharafu out. Sharjah Warriorz up from 39% to 47%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders233/4 Sharjah Warriorz194/9

Innings 1