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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
22 May 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 50%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 45% to 95% during the match (Derbyshire: 5% to 55%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aneurin Donaldlbw · Callum Parkinson1 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Callum Parkinson | 19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 316.67 |
| Martin Anderssoncaught · Ollie Robinson · Matthew Potts 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Matthew Potts | 18 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 163.64 |
| Caleb Jewellbowled · Ben Raine 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Raine | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 110.00 |
 Wayne Madsencaught · Kasey Aldridge · Colin Ackermann3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kasey Aldridge · b Colin Ackermann | 18 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 150.00 |
| not out |
| 74* |
| 45 |
| 8 |
| 3 |
| 164.44 |
 Ross Whiteleycaught · Kasey Aldridge · Callum Parkinson5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Kasey Aldridge · b Callum Parkinson | 45 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 160.71 |
|---|
| AS Basracaught · Kasey Aldridge · Callum Parkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kasey Aldridge · b Callum Parkinson | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Nick Pottscaught · Colin Ackermann · Kasey Aldridge 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Colin Ackermann · b Kasey Aldridge | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Ben Aitchisonbowled · Ben Raine0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Raine | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Akif Javednot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matthew Potts0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 12.25 | 0 | 1 |
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 3 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Kasey Aldridge0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Ben Raine0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Colin Ackermann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-19 (Aneurin Donald, 1.1) · 2-50 (Martin Andersson, 4.2) · 3-56 (Caleb Jewell, 5.1) · 4-79 (Wayne Madsen, 7.5) · 5-149 (Ross Whiteley, 15.2) · 6-155 (AS Basra, 16.0) · 7-167 (Nick Potts, 17.1) · 8-178 (Ben Aitchison, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 19/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 29/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 38/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 46/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 56/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 62/3 |
| 7 | 7 | 69/3 |
| 8 | 11 | 80/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 89/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 94/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 100/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 108/4 |
| 13 | 17 | 125/4 |
| 14 | 14 | 139/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 148/4 |
| 16 | 7 | 155/6 |
| 17 | 12 | 167/6 |
| 18 | 11 | 178/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 186/8 |
| 20 | 11 | 197/8 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Morley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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