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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
11 Jun 2025 · T20
County Ground, Northampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Northamptonshire started on 55%; Northamptonshire batted first.
Northamptonshire's chances ranged from 24% to 100% during the match (Birmingham Bears: 0% to 76%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Daviescaught · George Scrimshaw · David Willey 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Scrimshaw · b David Willey | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 88.89 |
 Tom Lathamcaught · Saif Zaib · George Scrimshaw4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saif Zaib · b George Scrimshaw | 34 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 147.83 |
| Dan Mousleycaught · Lewis McManus · David Willey 10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b David Willey | 68 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 161.90 |
| Sam Haincaught · Lewis McManus · George Scrimshaw 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b George Scrimshaw | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
 |
| lbw · b Ben Sanderson |
| 31 |
| 24 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 129.17 |
| Ed Barnardcaught · David Willey · Justin Broad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Willey · b Justin Broad | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| George Gartonbowled · Ben Sanderson 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Sanderson | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Kai Smithnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Hasan Alicaught · Justin Broad · Ben Sanderson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Justin Broad · b Ben Sanderson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Danny Briggsnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 5 | 2 | 0 | 240.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 10 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 2 | 0 |
 Ben Sanderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Luke Procter0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravi Bopara0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
 George Scrimshaw0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Justin Broad0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-18 (Alex Davies, 2.3) · 2-94 (Tom Latham, 9.4) · 3-102 (Sam Hain, 11.1) · 4-139 (Dan Mousley, 15.5) · 5-151 (Ed Barnard, 17.0) · 6-159 (George Garton, 18.2) · 7-160 (Moeen Ali, 18.4) · 8-160 (Hasan Ali, 18.5)
Recorded target: 185 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 41/1 |
| 6 | 14 | 55/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 65/1 |
| 8 | 13 | 78/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 87/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 94/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 102/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 110/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 116/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 119/3 |
| 15 | 13 | 132/3 |
| 16 | 9 | 141/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 151/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 159/5 |
| 19 | 2 | 161/8 |
| 20 | 13 | 174/8 |
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
Luke Procter: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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