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Photo: Escpl
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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West Indies tour of India · 2026/27 · Men
6 Oct 2026 · T20
Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
West Indies started on 17%; West Indies batted first.
West Indies's chances ranged from 0% to 28% during the match (India: 72% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sanju Samsoncaught and bowled · Akeal Hosein1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Akeal Hosein | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 122.22 |
| Abhishek Sharmacaught · Shimron Hetmyer · Roston Chase 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shimron Hetmyer · b Roston Chase | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 210.00 |
 Ishan Kishannot out5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 37* | 27 | 5 | 0 | 137.04 |
 Shreyas Iyernot out10 fours · 6 sixes | not out | 102* | 43 | 10 | 6 | 237.21 |
| Extras |
| byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 |
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Forde0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 19.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Akeal Hosein0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 0 | 1 |
 Roston Chase0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 10.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Shamar Joseph0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Romario Shepherd0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shamar Springer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-29 (Abhishek Sharma, 2.3) · 2-35 (Sanju Samson, 3.3)
Recorded target: 172 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 15/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 24/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 35/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 36/2 |
| 5 | 11 | 47/2 |
| 6 | 15 | 62/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 67/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 75/2 |
| 9 | 19 | 94/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 102/2 |
| 11 | 12 | 114/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 121/2 |
| 13 | 19 | 140/2 |
| 14 | 24 | 164/2 |
| 15 | 8 | 172/2 |
Sanju Samson: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shivam Dube: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ishan Kishan: Tata Ipl 2022 · CC BY 3.0
Tilak Varma: Buchi Babu Sana · CC BY 4.0
Arshdeep Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Shimron Hetmyer: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
