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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Malaysia) · 2025 · Men
29 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Malaysia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 81%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 81% to 100% during the match (Thailand: 0% to 19%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syed Azizcaught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · W Ngowhuad 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · b W Ngowhuad | 12 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 133.33 |
| Aslam Khancaught · Nopphon Senamontree · Sarawut Maliwan 3 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Nopphon Senamontree · b Sarawut Maliwan | 44 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 209.52 |
| Virandeep Singhcaught · Kamron Senamontree · Nopphon Senamontree 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kamron Senamontree · b Nopphon Senamontree | 17 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 73.91 |
| Amir Khancaught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · S Desungnoen 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · b S Desungnoen | 20 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 117.65 |
| Ahmed Faizcaught · Kamron Senamontree · Phanuphong Thongsa 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kamron Senamontree · b Phanuphong Thongsa |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Ahmed Aqeelcaught · Sarawut Maliwan · W Ngowhuad 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Sarawut Maliwan · b W Ngowhuad | 18 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 112.50 |
|---|
| Ainool Hafizscaught · Sarawut Maliwan · W Ngowhuad 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sarawut Maliwan · b W Ngowhuad | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 157.14 |
|---|
| Sharvin Muniandycaught · S Desungnoen · Kamron Senamontree 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Desungnoen · b Kamron Senamontree | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Vijay Unnicaught · Austin Lazarus · W Ngowhuad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Austin Lazarus · b W Ngowhuad | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Wafiqnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 13* | 4 | 1 | 1 | 325.00 |
|---|
| Pavandeep Singhnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W Ngowhuad0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 4 | 9.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Kamron Senamontree0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nopphon Senamontree0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sarawut Maliwan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| S Desungnoen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Phanuphong Thongsa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-25 (Syed Aziz, 2.3) · 2-74 (Aslam Khan, 8.4) · 3-76 (Virandeep Singh, 9.1) · 4-103 (Ahmed Faiz, 12.5) · 5-110 (Amir Khan, 14.5) · 6-135 (Ainool Hafizs, 17.1) · 7-136 (Ahmed Aqeel, 17.3) · 8-144 (Sharvin Muniandy, 18.5) · 9-155 (Vijay Unni, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 32/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 38/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 48/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 59/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 64/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 67/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 76/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 83/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 90/3 |
| 12 | 10 | 100/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 103/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 107/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 110/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 121/5 |
| 17 | 14 | 135/5 |
| 18 | 3 | 138/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 146/8 |
| 20 | 14 | 160/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.