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Photo: Philip Terry Graham
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
30 Dec 2025 · T20
Sydney Showground Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Perth Scorchers started on 49%; Perth Scorchers batted first.
Perth Scorchers's chances ranged from 27% to 100% during the match (Sydney Thunder: 0% to 73%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Warnercaught · Finn Allen · Mahli Beardman0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Finn Allen · b Mahli Beardman | 25 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 119.05 |
| Matthew Gilkesrun out · Josh Inglis, Ashton Agar · Ashton Agar 3 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Josh Inglis, Ashton Agar | 33 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 173.68 |
 Sam Konstascaught · Mahli Beardman · Aaron Hardie2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mahli Beardman · b Aaron Hardie | 21 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 110.53 |
| Cameron Bancroftcaught and bowled · Cooper Connolly 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Cooper Connolly | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| bowled · b Cooper Connolly |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Daniel Samscaught · Josh Inglis · Joel Paris2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Inglis · b Joel Paris | 16 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 123.08 |
|---|
 Shadab Khancaught · Laurie Evans · Joel Paris0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laurie Evans · b Joel Paris | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Chris Greencaught · Finn Allen · Aaron Hardie1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Finn Allen · b Aaron Hardie | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Nathan McAndrewcaught · Ashton Agar · Brody Couch 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashton Agar · b Brody Couch | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 220.00 |
|---|
| Tanveer Sanghanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Reece Topleycaught · Ashton Turner · Brody Couch0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Brody Couch | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahli Beardman0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Joel Paris0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 9.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Brody Couch0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Aaron Hardie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Cooper Connolly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Ashton Agar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-60 (David Warner, 6.4) · 2-61 (Matthew Gilkes, 7.1) · 3-81 (Cameron Bancroft, 9.5) · 4-81 (Sam Billings, 10.0) · 5-99 (Daniel Sams, 12.2) · 6-104 (Shadab Khan, 13.0) · 7-111 (Sam Konstas, 14.3) · 8-112 (Chris Green, 14.5) · 9-123 (Nathan McAndrew, 15.4) · 10-131 (Reece Topley, 17.3)
Recorded target: 203 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 16 | 36/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 40/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 53/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 61/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 72/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 79/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 81/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 87/4 |
| 12 | 11 | 98/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 104/6 |
| 14 | 5 | 109/6 |
| 15 | 3 | 112/8 |
| 16 | 11 | 123/9 |
| 17 | 4 | 127/9 |
| 18 | 4 | 131/10 |
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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