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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
International League T20 · 2023/24 · Men
17 Feb 2024 · T20
Dubai International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
MI Emirates started on 50%; MI Emirates batted first.
MI Emirates's chances ranged from 49% to 100% during the match (Dubai Capitals: 0% to 51%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 17 Feb 2024, MI Emirates played Dubai Capitals at Dubai International Cricket Stadium. Recorded result: MI Emirates won by 45 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.