QatarversusOman

14 Feb 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Qatar won by 7 runs

Qatar20.0 overs102/6 Oman19.1 overs95/10 West End Park International Cricket Stadium, Doha ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Oman more likely to win

12%Qatar88%Oman

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Oman rate stronger than Qatar (1,612 vs 1,332 on our results rating)
In the last 9 T20 internationals between these sides, Oman won 8 and Qatar won 1
Qatar are playing at home in Qatar

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Qatar started on 10%; Qatar batted first.

Qatar’s chance of winning (%) · Oman is the rest

Qatar's chances ranged from 4% to 85% during the match (Oman: 15% to 96%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 15.2: Shahreeennawab to CM Saldanha, CM Saldanha out. Qatar up from 17% to 36%.
2nd inns 16.4: Aysha to SA Sathiya, SA Sathiya out. Qatar up from 16% to 38%.
2nd inns 17.1: G Candiru to Sameera Khan, Sameera Khan out. Qatar up from 42% to 85%.

Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Qatar102/6 Oman95/10

Innings 2

Oman

95/1019.1 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Oman batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
J Gunasekarcaught · Shahreeennawab · Gertrude Candiru 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Shahreeennawab · b Gertrude Candiru	3	6	0	0	50.00
N Joshicaught · Aysha · Gertrude Candiru 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Aysha · b Gertrude Candiru	4	5	0	0	80.00
PE Mendoncacaught · Amina Kashif · Shahreeennawab 2 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Amina Kashif · b Shahreeennawab	35	37	2	0	94.59
Javed Hinacaught · MT Jacob · S Krisheta 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · MT Jacob · b S Krisheta	6	18	0	0	33.33
Lujainacaught · Rizpha Bano · Gertrude Candiru 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Rizpha Bano · b Gertrude Candiru	4	9	0	0	44.44

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD	NB
MT Jacob0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	20	0	5.00	3	0
Gertrude Candiru0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	15	4	3.75	0	0
Shahreeennawab0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	19	2	4.75	2	0
S Krisheta0 maidens · 4 wides · 2 no-balls	2.1	14	2	6.46	4	2
Taful Elkhair0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	9	0	9.00	6	0
Aysha0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	16	2	4.00	1	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	4	4/0
2	4	8/2
3	7	15/2
4	4	19/2
5	2	21/2
6	3	24/2
7	7	31/2
8	10	41/3
9	9	50/3
10	4	54/4
11	6	60/4
12	6	66/4
13	6	72/4
14	4	76/5
15	2	78/6
16	6	84/7
17	2	86/8
18	4	90/9
19	3	93/9
20	2	95/10

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