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Photo: Krish Dulal
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Nepal Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2023/24 · Men
1 Mar 2024 · T20
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur · Venue photographRecorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nepal started on 33%; Nepal batted first.
Nepal's chances ranged from 23% to 91% during the match (Namibia: 9% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael van Lingenbowled · Karan KC 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Karan KC | 10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
 Malan Krugercaught · Gulsan Jha · Sompal Kami0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gulsan Jha · b Sompal Kami | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Jean-Pierre Kotzecaught · Aasif Sheikh · Sompal Kami 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aasif Sheikh · b Sompal Kami | 25 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 113.64 |
| Jan Frylinckbowled · Abinash Bohara 1 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Abinash Bohara | 37 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 127.59 |
| JJ Smitcaught · Anil Sah · Dipendra Singh Airee 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Anil Sah · b Dipendra Singh Airee |
| 50 |
| 26 |
| 6 |
| 2 |
| 192.31 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatoncaught · S Jora · Dipendra Singh Airee 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Jora · b Dipendra Singh Airee | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ruben Trumpelmanncaught · S Jora · Karan KC 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · S Jora · b Karan KC | 14 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 116.67 |
|---|
| Zane Greennot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 13 | 4 | 0 | 176.92 |
|---|
| Bernard Scholtznot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Karan KC0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 2 | 12.25 | 2 | 1 |
 Sompal Kami0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 5 | 0 |
 Dipendra Singh Airee0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Rohit Kumar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Pratis GC0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Abinash Bohara0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-11 (Malan Kruger, 1.3) · 2-35 (Michael van Lingen, 5.3) · 3-50 (Jean-Pierre Kotze, 7.2) · 4-133 (JJ Smit, 15.1) · 5-133 (Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton, 15.2) · 6-135 (Jan Frylinck, 16.1) · 7-173 (Ruben Trumpelmann, 19.5)
Recorded target: 181 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 44/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 49/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 55/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 60/3 |
| 10 | 12 | 72/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 77/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 82/3 |
| 13 | 17 | 99/3 |
| 14 | 11 | 110/3 |
| 15 | 23 | 133/3 |
| 16 | 2 | 135/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 140/6 |
| 18 | 18 | 158/6 |
| 19 | 11 | 169/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 177/7 |
Gulsan Jha: Elison Pokhrel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sompal Kami: सरोज कुमार ढकाल · CC BY-SA 3.0
Rohit Kumar: Cricnepal · CC BY-SA 4.0
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karan KC: Helloworld3377 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dipendra Singh Airee: Dipendra Singh Airee · CC BY-SA 4.0
Pratis GC: Hamrokhelkud · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Shikongo: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aarif Sheikh: Nepalese Diaspora · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Malla: Hamro Khelkud · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
