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Photo: Dave Morton
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ICC Women's T20 World Cup · 2024/25 · Women
6 Oct 2024 · T20
Dubai International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 50%; Scotland batted first.
Scotland's chances ranged from 0% to 60% during the match (West Indies: 40% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hayley Matthewscaught · Kathryn Bryce · Priyanaz Chatterji0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kathryn Bryce · b Priyanaz Chatterji | 8 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 42.11 |
 Stafanie Taylorbowled · Rachel Slater1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rachel Slater | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Qiana Josephcaught · Priyanaz Chatterji · Olivia Bell 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Priyanaz Chatterji · b Olivia Bell | 31 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 172.22 |
 Shemaine Campbellecaught and bowled · Olivia Bell0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Olivia Bell |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 40.00 |
 Deandra Dottinnot out2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 28* | 15 | 2 | 2 | 186.67 |
|---|
 Chinelle Henrynot out2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 18* | 10 | 2 | 1 | 180.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Slater0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Kathryn Bryce0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Olivia Bell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Priyanaz Chatterji0 maidens · 9 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 15.00 | 9 | 0 |
| Abtaha Maqsood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Stafanie Taylor, 0.4) · 2-32 (Hayley Matthews, 5.2) · 3-48 (Shemaine Campbelle, 6.4) · 4-59 (Qiana Joseph, 8.2)
Recorded target: 100 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 11 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 30/1 |
| 6 | 16 | 46/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 50/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 59/3 |
| 9 | 12 | 71/4 |
| 10 | 2 | 73/4 |
| 11 | 11 | 84/4 |
| 12 | 17 | 101/4 |
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Stafanie Taylor: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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