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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
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New Zealand Women tour of England · 2026 · Women
16 May 2026 · ODI
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Lauren Bell | 12 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Georgia Plimmerlbw · Lauren Bell 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Lauren Bell | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Lauren Bell | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Danielle Gibson | 37 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 86.05 |
| not out |
| 42* |
| 54 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 77.78 |
| Izzy Gazenot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 22* | 23 | 3 | 0 | 95.65 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 18 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.4 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 5.12 | 7 | 0 | |
| 5.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 7.20 | 7 | 0 | |
| 5.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 4.60 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 3 | 0 |
1-21 (Suzie Bates, 3.0) · 2-27 (Amelia Kerr, 4.2) · 3-40 (Georgia Plimmer, 6.1) · 4-97 (Maddy Green, 17.3)
Recorded target: 125 runs in 24.4 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 28/2 |
| 6 | 12 | 40/2 |
| 7 | 1 | 41/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 43/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 49/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 52/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 53/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 62/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 69/3 |
| 14 | 13 | 82/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 86/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 90/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 94/3 |
| 18 | 6 | 100/4 |
| 19 | 8 | 108/4 |
| 20 | 5 | 113/4 |
| 21 | 4 | 117/4 |
| 22 | 8 | 125/4 |
| 23 | 7 | 132/4 |
| 24 | 3 | 135/4 |
| 25 | 6 | 141/4 |
Heather Knight: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charlie Dean: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Ecclestone: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maddy Green: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Gibson: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Filer: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alice Capsey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suzie Bates: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Lauren Bell: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.