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Photo: Mat Fascione
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
10 Jul 2025 · T20
Grace Road, Leicester · Venue photographRecorded result
Northamptonshire started on 50%; Northamptonshire batted first.
Northamptonshire's chances ranged from 0% to 72% during the match (Leicestershire: 28% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rishi Patelcaught and bowled · David Willey 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b David Willey | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sol Budingercaught · David Willey · George Scrimshaw 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · David Willey · b George Scrimshaw | 40 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 181.82 |
 Shan Masoodcaught · Lewis McManus · George Scrimshaw4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b George Scrimshaw | 25 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 108.70 |
 Rehan Ahmednot out6 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 52* | 30 | 6 | 3 | 173.33 |
| bowled · b George Scrimshaw |
| 17 |
| 10 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 170.00 |
 Ben Coxnot out1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 21* | 10 | 1 | 2 | 210.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 11 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 11.50 | 6 | 0 |
 Ben Sanderson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.1 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
 George Scrimshaw0 maidens · 4 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 4 | 2 |
 Luke Procter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Saif Zaib0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Rishi Patel, 0.3) · 2-71 (Shan Masood, 7.0) · 3-82 (Sol Budinger, 9.0) · 4-118 (Louis Kimber, 12.2)
Recorded target: 172 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 15 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 17 | 40/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 47/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 59/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 71/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 73/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 82/3 |
| 10 | 15 | 97/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 100/3 |
| 12 | 14 | 114/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 124/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 134/4 |
| 15 | 17 | 151/4 |
| 16 | 18 | 169/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 173/4 |
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Luke Procter: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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