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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
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Bangladesh tour of Zimbabwe · 2026 · Men
28 Jun 2026 · Test
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
Bangladesh more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mahmudul Hasan Joycaught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · Newman Nyamhuri0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · b Newman Nyamhuri | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 11.76 |
| Shadman Islamcaught · Craig Ervine · Brad Evans 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Ervine · b Brad Evans | 20 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 52.63 |
 Mominul Haquecaught · Craig Ervine · Newman Nyamhuri12 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Ervine · b Newman Nyamhuri | 60 | 81 | 12 | 0 | 74.07 |
 Najmul Hossain Shanto |
| caught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · b Brad Evans |
| 19 |
| 73 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 26.03 |
 Mushfiqur Rahimbowled · Richard Ngarava2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Richard Ngarava | 9 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
 Tawhid Hridoycaught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · Richard Ngarava0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · b Richard Ngarava | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 18.75 |
|---|
| Amite Hasancaught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · Blessing Muzarabani 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · b Blessing Muzarabani | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 26.67 |
|---|
 Taijul Islamcaught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · Newman Nyamhuri2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · b Newman Nyamhuri | 9 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 69.23 |
|---|
 Hasan Mahmudcaught · Brian Bennett · Blessing Muzarabani0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Blessing Muzarabani | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Khaled Ahmedbowled · Newman Nyamhuri0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Newman Nyamhuri | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ebadat Hossainnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Ngarava4 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 1.80 | 1 | 0 |
| Blessing Muzarabani8 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 8 | 19 | 2 | 1.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Newman Nyamhuri1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.2 | 1 | 61 | 4 | 4.95 | 1 | 0 |
| Brad Evans4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 4 | 30 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Mahmudul Hasan Joy, 6.2) · 2-36 (Shadman Islam, 12.0) · 3-113 (Mominul Haque, 33.4) · 4-119 (Najmul Hossain Shanto, 36.3) · 5-125 (Mushfiqur Rahim, 39.4) · 6-130 (Tawhid Hridoy, 41.5) · 7-132 (Amite Hasan, 44.5) · 8-140 (Taijul Islam, 45.5) · 9-140 (Hasan Mahmud, 46.2) · 10-140 (Khaled Ahmed, 47.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 6/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 10/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 14/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 22/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 31/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 32/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 36/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 42/2 |
| 14 | 0 | 42/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 46/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 50/2 |
| 17 | 3 | 53/2 |
| 18 | 0 | 53/2 |
| 19 | 2 | 55/2 |
| 20 | 14 | 69/2 |
| 21 | 3 | 72/2 |
| 22 | 0 | 72/2 |
| 23 | 0 | 72/2 |
| 24 | 4 | 76/2 |
| 25 | 0 | 76/2 |
| 26 | 6 | 82/2 |
| 27 | 0 | 82/2 |
| 28 | 14 | 96/2 |
| 29 | 1 | 97/2 |
| 30 | 10 | 107/2 |
| 31 | 1 | 108/2 |
| 32 | 2 | 110/2 |
| 33 | 2 | 112/2 |
| 34 | 2 | 114/3 |
| 35 | 0 | 114/3 |
| 36 | 5 | 119/3 |
| 37 | 0 | 119/4 |
| 38 | 0 | 119/4 |
| 39 | 2 | 121/4 |
| 40 | 4 | 125/5 |
| 41 | 2 | 127/5 |
| 42 | 3 | 130/6 |
| 43 | 1 | 131/6 |
| 44 | 0 | 131/6 |
| 45 | 1 | 132/7 |
| 46 | 8 | 140/8 |
| 47 | 0 | 140/9 |
| 48 | 0 | 140/10 |
Tawhid Hridoy: Niriho khoka · CC BY 4.0
Khaled Ahmed: Press Information Department · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Brendan Taylor: The Madras · CC BY-SA 3.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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