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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
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Bangladesh tour of Zimbabwe · 2026 · Men
28 Jun 2026 · Test
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
Bangladesh more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mahmudul Hasan Joycaught · Brian Bennett · Blessing Muzarabani2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Blessing Muzarabani | 22 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 68.75 |
| Shadman Islamcaught · Ben Curran · Richard Ngarava 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Curran · b Richard Ngarava | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
 Mominul Haquecaught · Brad Evans · Blessing Muzarabani2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brad Evans · b Blessing Muzarabani | 13 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 43.33 |
 Najmul Hossain Shanto |
| bowled · b Newman Nyamhuri |
| 30 |
| 41 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 73.17 |
 Mushfiqur Rahimcaught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · Blessing Muzarabani4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · b Blessing Muzarabani | 34 | 62 | 4 | 0 | 54.84 |
|---|
 Tawhid Hridoycaught · Brad Evans · Blessing Muzarabani1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brad Evans · b Blessing Muzarabani | 9 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 52.94 |
|---|
| Amite Hasancaught · Craig Ervine · Richard Ngarava 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Ervine · b Richard Ngarava | 25 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Taijul Islamcaught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · Brad Evans1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · b Brad Evans | 8 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 34.78 |
|---|
 Hasan Mahmudcaught · Blessing Muzarabani · Newman Nyamhuri3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Blessing Muzarabani · b Newman Nyamhuri | 15 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 88.24 |
|---|
 Khaled Ahmedcaught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · Richard Ngarava0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · b Richard Ngarava | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ebadat Hossainnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 10 | 2 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Ngarava1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 32 | 3 | 3.56 | 0 | 0 |
| Blessing Muzarabani3 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 3 | 65 | 4 | 3.82 | 1 | 0 |
| Brad Evans1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 1 | 55 | 1 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Newman Nyamhuri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-22 (Shadman Islam, 4.2) · 2-41 (Mahmudul Hasan Joy, 10.3) · 3-46 (Mominul Haque, 12.5) · 4-107 (Najmul Hossain Shanto, 27.5) · 5-117 (Mushfiqur Rahim, 30.4) · 6-124 (Tawhid Hridoy, 32.3) · 7-158 (Taijul Islam, 39.5) · 8-162 (Amite Hasan, 40.2) · 9-162 (Khaled Ahmed, 40.4) · 10-185 (Hasan Mahmud, 45.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 22/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 23/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 28/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 33/1 |
| 8 | 0 | 33/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 40/1 |
| 10 | 1 | 41/1 |
| 11 | 0 | 41/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 45/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 48/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 55/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 59/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 64/3 |
| 17 | 6 | 70/3 |
| 18 | 7 | 77/3 |
| 19 | 0 | 77/3 |
| 20 | 3 | 80/3 |
| 21 | 6 | 86/3 |
| 22 | 1 | 87/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 89/3 |
| 24 | 7 | 96/3 |
| 25 | 2 | 98/3 |
| 26 | 1 | 99/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 101/3 |
| 28 | 6 | 107/4 |
| 29 | 3 | 110/4 |
| 30 | 3 | 113/4 |
| 31 | 4 | 117/5 |
| 32 | 3 | 120/5 |
| 33 | 5 | 125/6 |
| 34 | 5 | 130/6 |
| 35 | 0 | 130/6 |
| 36 | 15 | 145/6 |
| 37 | 7 | 152/6 |
| 38 | 1 | 153/6 |
| 39 | 0 | 153/6 |
| 40 | 9 | 162/7 |
| 41 | 4 | 166/9 |
| 42 | 4 | 170/9 |
| 43 | 4 | 174/9 |
| 44 | 6 | 180/9 |
| 45 | 5 | 185/10 |
Tawhid Hridoy: Niriho khoka · CC BY 4.0
Khaled Ahmed: Press Information Department · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Brendan Taylor: The Madras · CC BY-SA 3.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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