Guyana Amazon WarriorsversusBarbados Royals

17 Sept 2025 · T20

Providence Stadium, Guyana · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Barbados Royals won by 3 wickets

Guyana Amazon Warriors20.0 overs136/3 Barbados Royals19.4 overs137/7 Providence Stadium, Guyana ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Guyana Amazon Warriors started on 39%; Guyana Amazon Warriors batted first.

Guyana Amazon Warriors’s chance of winning (%) · Barbados Royals is the rest

Guyana Amazon Warriors's chances ranged from 8% to 86% during the match (Barbados Royals: 14% to 92%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 16.1: N Latchman to C Webb, six by C Webb. Barbados Royals up from 41% to 60%.
2nd inns 18.3: MM Penfold to AA Alleyne, six by AA Alleyne. Barbados Royals up from 26% to 68%.
2nd inns 18.4: MM Penfold to AA Alleyne, four by AA Alleyne. Barbados Royals up from 68% to 88%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Guyana Amazon Warriors136/3 Barbados Royals137/7

Innings 1