Barbados RoyalsversusSt Lucia Kings

7 Sept 2025 · T20

Kensington Oval · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Barbados Royals won by 27 runs

Barbados Royals20.0 overs191/5 St Lucia Kings20.0 overs164/9 Kensington Oval ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Barbados Royals started on 37%; Barbados Royals batted first.

Barbados Royals’s chance of winning (%) · St Lucia Kings is the rest

Barbados Royals's chances ranged from 29% to 100% during the match (St Lucia Kings: 0% to 71%).

Biggest swings

2.5: K Pierre to Q de Kock, Q de Kock out. St Lucia Kings up from 60% to 70%.
2nd inns 1.2: CJ Green to J Charles, J Charles out. Barbados Royals up from 55% to 67%.
2nd inns 2.1: RR Simmonds to AWJ Auguste, AWJ Auguste out. Barbados Royals up from 70% to 80%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: St Lucia Kings chose to field
Player of the match: Chris Green
match referees: Reon King
reserve umpires: R Banwarie
tv umpires: DK Butler
umpires: Christopher Taylor, GO Brathwaite

Match history & source

On 7 Sept 2025, Barbados Royals played St Lucia Kings at Kensington Oval. Recorded result: Barbados Royals won by 27 runs.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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