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Photo: Seksan Phonsuwan
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Women's Emerging Nations Trophy · 2025/26 · Women
30 Nov 2025 · T20
Asian Institute of Technology Ground, Bangkok · Venue photographRecorded result
Scotland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 54%; Scotland batted first.
Scotland's chances ranged from 1% to 61% during the match (Thailand: 39% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nattaya Boochathamcaught · Chloe Abel · Olivia Bell0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chloe Abel · b Olivia Bell | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| S Khiaotocaught · Darcey Carter · Olivia Bell 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Darcey Carter · b Olivia Bell | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
 Nannapat Koncharoenkaicaught · Darcey Carter · Olivia Bell0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Darcey Carter · b Olivia Bell | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Natthakan Chantamcaught · Abtaha Maqsood · Olivia Bell2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Abtaha Maqsood |
| 16 |
| 9 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 177.78 |
 Naruemol Chaiwainot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 17* | 21 | 0 | 0 | 80.95 |
|---|
 Chanida Sutthiruangcaught · Sarah Bryce · Olivia Bell1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sarah Bryce · b Olivia Bell | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Phannita Mayacaught · Darcey Carter · Abtaha Maqsood 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Darcey Carter · b Abtaha Maqsood | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
 Suleeporn Laomibowled · Katherine Fraser1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Katherine Fraser | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 72.73 |
|---|
 Onnicha Kamchomphunot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 6* | 1 | 0 | 1 | 600.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Bell1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Rachel Slater0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Katherine Fraser0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Priyanaz Chatterji0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Abtaha Maqsood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Chloe Abel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Nattaya Boochatham, 0.2) · 2-6 (Nannapat Koncharoenkai, 2.1) · 3-7 (S Khiaoto, 2.3) · 4-24 (Natthakan Chantam, 4.5) · 5-34 (Chanida Sutthiruang, 6.4) · 6-42 (Phannita Maya, 8.2) · 7-59 (Suleeporn Laomi, 11.3)
Recorded target: 64 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 7/3 |
| 4 | 12 | 19/3 |
| 5 | 5 | 24/4 |
| 6 | 8 | 32/4 |
| 7 | 2 | 34/5 |
| 8 | 7 | 41/5 |
| 9 | 4 | 45/6 |
| 10 | 5 | 50/6 |
| 11 | 6 | 56/6 |
| 12 | 9 | 65/7 |
Naruemol Chaiwai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nannapat Koncharoenkai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nattaya Boochatham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chanida Sutthiruang: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Onnicha Kamchomphu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Natthakan Chantam: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suleeporn Laomi: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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