**Grace Road, Leicester**
Photo: Mat Fascione
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.

Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men

YorkshireversusLeicestershire

31 May 2024 · T20

Grace Road, Leicester · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Leicestershire won by 7 wickets

Yorkshire20.0 overs151/7 Leicestershire14.1 overs155/3 Grace Road, Leicester ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Yorkshire started on 54%; Yorkshire batted first.

Yorkshire’s chance of winning (%) · Leicestershire is the rest

Yorkshire's chances ranged from 0% to 62% during the match (Leicestershire: 38% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.5: J Hull to DJ Malan, DJ Malan out. Leicestershire up from 43% to 55%.
5.1: BWM Mike to A Lyth, A Lyth out. Leicestershire up from 47% to 57%.
7.2: IG Holland to JE Root, JE Root out. Leicestershire up from 59% to 68%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Leicestershire chose to field
match referees: DA Cosker
umpires: Hassan Adnan, RJ Bailey

Match history & source

On 31 May 2024, Yorkshire played Leicestershire at Grace Road, Leicester. Recorded result: Leicestershire won by 7 wickets.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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