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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
9 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Romania more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Austria started on 45%; Austria batted first.
Austria's chances ranged from 4% to 85% during the match (Romania: 15% to 96%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taranjeet Singhcaught · Karanbir Singh · Waqar Zalmai 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karanbir Singh · b Waqar Zalmai | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
| AN Lascucaught · Abrar Bilal · Aqib Iqbal 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abrar Bilal · b Aqib Iqbal | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Muhammad Moizcaught · Waqar Zalmai · Aqib Iqbal 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Waqar Zalmai · b Aqib Iqbal | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 300.00 |
| V Sainibowled · Waqar Zalmai 3 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Waqar Zalmai | 64 | 45 | 3 | 3 | 142.22 |
| A Rajshekaracaught · Shadnan Khan · Karanbir Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shadnan Khan · b Karanbir Singh | 6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| stumped · Abrar Bilal · b Abdullah Akbarjan |
| 29 |
| 20 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 145.00 |
| Rameez Khancaught · Abrar Bilal · Waqar Zalmai 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Abrar Bilal · b Waqar Zalmai | 23 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 230.00 |
|---|
| S Vashishtnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Ali Hussainnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aqib Iqbal0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Waqar Zalmai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 3 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Bilal Zalmai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Shadnan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Karanbir Singh0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Abdullah Akbarjan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Imran Asif0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-8 (Taranjeet Singh, 1.1) · 2-23 (Muhammad Moiz, 2.2) · 3-28 (AN Lascu, 3.0) · 4-62 (A Rajshekara, 8.5) · 5-121 (S Nadigotla, 15.1) · 6-140 (V Saini, 16.5) · 7-161 (Rameez Khan, 18.3)
Recorded target: 170 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 28/3 |
| 4 | 4 | 32/3 |
| 5 | 4 | 36/3 |
| 6 | 7 | 43/3 |
| 7 | 12 | 55/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 58/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 63/4 |
| 10 | 11 | 74/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 82/4 |
| 12 | 9 | 91/4 |
| 13 | 9 | 100/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 105/4 |
| 15 | 14 | 119/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 130/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 141/6 |
| 18 | 12 | 153/6 |
| 19 | 14 | 167/7 |
| 20 | 3 | 170/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.